Reasoning Engine

Conducting research…

Step 1 / 5
  1. Discovering sources
    Identified 6 candidate sources across 4 publication types.
  2. Analyzing sources
    Extracted atomic claims; scored credibility, recency, and bias on each.
  3. Cross-referencing
    Detected contradictions and reconciled overlapping claims.
  4. Synthesizing findings
    Compressed claim graph into structural themes and a working thesis.
  5. Generating intelligence
    Drafted executive brief, evidence map, risks, and recommendations.

Research Telemetry

live · demo
Reasoning
84/100
Confidence
86/100
Evidence
88/100
Depth
78/100
Diversity
82/100

Synthesized Answer

Project agent ARR by vertical

Base case for global vertical-agent ARR in 2026: $14–18B, growing to $48–65B by 2028. Software engineering and customer support lead today; legal, healthcare RCM, and financial back-office drive the next leg.

Key Points

  • 2026 base case: $14–18B global vertical-agent ARR
  • 2028 base case: $48–65B; bull case $80B
  • Top 3 segments: software eng, customer support, healthcare RCM
  • Payback <9 months + 65%+ GM drive the curve
  • Incumbent bundling (Salesforce, Microsoft) is the biggest headwind

Knowledge Graph

10 nodes · 11 edges
topicconceptcompanyentity
AI agentsReliabilityVertical agentsEval / observabilityComputer-use APIsMCP / portabilityAnthropicOpenAILangChain / LangGraphSWE-bench

Auto-generated Insights

Trend

Vertical agents are out-scaling horizontal copilots in revenue per seat by 3–5×.

Contradiction

Benchmarks show 60% task completion; production deployments report 25–40% — eval-set leakage suspected.

Finding

Computer-use APIs cut integration timelines from months to weeks for legacy systems.

Signal

Eval/observability startups (Braintrust, Langfuse, Arize) are seeing the fastest ARR growth in the stack.

Structured Data

Extracted from sources

Enterprises with agents in production

31%

18pp YoY

Gartner Q1 2026

SWE-bench Verified (top closed)

65%

22pp YoY

real GitHub issue resolution

Vertical agent gross margin

72%

9pp YoY

median across 40 disclosed startups

Inference cost per agent task

$0.18

−54% YoY

blended, 30-min analyst-equivalent

Sources6 ranked

Sorted by relevance
S
swebench.com·this week
Research Paper

SWE-bench Verified: Real-World Agent Performance Leaderboard

Top closed models resolve 55–65% of real GitHub issues end-to-end; leading open-weight agents trail at 28–34%.

Cred
96
Auth
94
Fresh
94
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence
A
a16z.com·this week
Article

The Vertical Agent Thesis

Workflow-specific agents in legal, sales, and finance are achieving 40–70% task automation with bounded eval surface.

Cred
84
Auth
85
Fresh
92
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence
A
anthropic.com·this week
Blog

Computer Use, One Year In: What Actually Works

Screen-reading + structured action agents now handle multi-app workflows; reliability gates remain the production bottleneck.

Cred
92
Auth
90
Fresh
96
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence
A
arxiv.org·this week
Research Paper

GAIA: A Benchmark for General AI Assistants

Human performance on GAIA is 92%; best agent score is 49%. Long-horizon planning is the dominant failure mode.

Cred
97
Auth
96
Fresh
80
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence
G
gartner.com·this week
Report

Enterprise Agent Adoption Survey, Q1 2026

31% of enterprises have at least one agent in production; 78% cite evaluation tooling as the #1 blocker to scale.

Cred
91
Auth
93
Fresh
90
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence
H
huggingface.co·this week
Blog

LangGraph vs Native SDKs: A Framework Comparison

Open frameworks lead on portability; native SDKs lead on tool fidelity and latency. Convergence expected within 12 months.

Cred
84
Auth
85
Fresh
95
Rel
88
●Center
Strongevidence

Refine your research

Compare LangGraph vs native SDKsBuild a vertical agent thesisMap the eval/observability stackIdentify computer-use security risksProject agent ARR by verticalGenerate executive summary

Demo mode · All sources, insights, and data are mock-generated for illustration.